Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 40.515109 46.168929 52.359180 59.644991 67.992718 77.266597 88.362465
2024-12-15 35.755296 43.955149 53.659205 66.013380 81.357844 99.835108 123.842533
2024-12-22 31.188814 41.074981 53.633390 70.814495 93.802783 123.632316 165.493004
2024-12-29 28.134577 39.538330 55.027631 77.720260 110.322843 155.780113 224.511747
2025-01-05 24.617392 36.763376 54.330610 81.786233 123.988128 187.004867 289.361097
2025-01-12 20.829286 32.917125 51.456118 82.243003 132.678063 213.044732 352.811306
2025-01-19 17.931121 29.890009 49.276463 83.381462 142.755208 243.449018 430.498931
2025-01-26 16.218056 28.458151 49.389661 88.328916 160.252579 289.894647 546.850824
2025-02-02 14.875889 27.410854 49.968656 94.244559 180.825570 346.368811 695.857988
2025-02-09 13.271755 25.595146 48.854763 96.864032 195.929682 396.216354 845.225961
2025-02-16 11.503846 23.142826 46.105082 95.778517 203.569814 433.240437 978.195745
2025-02-23 10.039453 21.022166 43.620558 94.745991 211.166277 472.056161 1125.975227
2025-03-02 8.888516 19.381416 41.912057 95.260261 222.869671 524.005211 1322.646771
2025-03-09 8.014016 18.176864 40.924637 97.243367 238.630387 589.727054 1574.459939
2025-03-16 7.164088 16.869112 39.468854 97.857911 251.399732 651.858988 1837.523824
2025-03-23 6.646906 16.244791 39.493264 102.173317 274.846320 748.012023 2227.801091
2025-03-30 6.018096 15.228846 38.378532 103.343868 290.340417 827.294727 2596.371485
2025-04-06 5.292225 13.829527 36.032283 100.702284 294.615128 876.312857 2888.852893
2025-04-13 4.735797 12.768926 34.368264 99.613336 303.257874 941.017349 3256.824974
2025-04-20 4.441305 12.364498 34.408170 103.535059 328.408000 1064.717854 3876.125048
2025-04-27 4.218732 12.120363 34.855732 108.837580 359.574478 1217.736393 4662.972309
2025-05-04 3.899298 11.534501 34.200479 110.543330 379.390511 1338.547151 5375.549645
2025-05-11 3.501642 10.639593 32.447072 108.271115 384.925019 1410.689427 5922.240381